klarwetter.deLong-range forecastDortmund

30-day forecast · Dortmund

Days 1-16 are a real forecast from global weather models. Days 17-30 are season-typical values based on DWD climate normals 1991-2020 — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Dortmund

14 real + 16 synthesised
Sat · Today Showers
+31° +19° 4,4 mm
Sun · Tomorrow Showers
+27° +18° 2,1 mm
Monday 22/6 Showers
+30° +16° 1,6 mm
Tuesday 23/6 Partly cloudy
+32° +19° 0,2 mm
Wednesday 24/6 Partly cloudy
+32° +20° 0,2 mm
Thursday 25/6 Clear
+25° +16° 4%
Friday 26/6 Clear
+26° +11° 3%
Saturday 27/6 Clear
+29° +16° 4%
Sunday 28/6 Showers
+27° +17° 2,5 mm
Monday 29/6 Clear
+22° +12° 0,1 mm
Tuesday 30/6 Showers
+18° +12° 2,3 mm
Wednesday 1/7 Showers
+15° +12° 1,4 mm
Thursday 2/7 Partly cloudy
+22° +10° 7%
Friday 3/7 Clear
+23° +13° 4%
Saturday 4/7 Showers
+24° +14° 1,7 mm
Sunday 5/7 Showers
+24° +15° 2,7 mm
Monday 6/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+27° +15° 20%
Tuesday 7/7 Rain (climate normal)
+23° +13° 7,9 mm
Wednesday 8/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +12° 20%
Thursday 9/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+19° +11° 20%
Friday 10/7 Rain (climate normal)
+22° +12° 10,9 mm
Saturday 11/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+23° +13° 20%
Sunday 12/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+24° +13° 20%
Monday 13/7 Rain (climate normal)
+26° +15° 4,9 mm
Tuesday 14/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+23° +13° 20%
Wednesday 15/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +12° 20%
Thursday 16/7 Rain (climate normal)
+22° +12° 10,7 mm
Friday 17/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+21° +12° 20%
Saturday 18/7 Partly cloudy (climate normal)
+22° +13° 20%
Sunday 19/7 Rain (climate normal)
+26° +15° 9,3 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-16: Fetched live from global weather models (ECMWF, GFS, ICON) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-16.

Days 17-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average Tmax/Tmin from DWD climate normals 1991-2020 directly for Dortmund, with mild weekly variation.

Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in Berlin in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 17-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.

Official weather data from DWD (German Meteorological and Hydrological Institute) · DWD · Open-Meteo
Updated: 11:42